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October 19, 2018 - Supply Chain Flagship Newsletter
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This Week in SCDigest

bullet Trip Report - CSCMP Edge 2018 in Nashville Part 3 bullet SC Digest On-Target e-Magazine
bullet Supply Chain Graphic & by the Numbers for the Week bullet Distribution Digest/Green Supply Chain
bullet Cartoon Caption Contest Extended bullet Trivia      bullet Feedback
bullet New Expert Column and Supply Chain by Design bullet On Demand Videocasts
 

FEATURED SPONSOR: AMBER ROAD

 
   
     
first thought

SUPPLY CHAIN NEWS BITES


Supply Chain Graphic of the Week
WMS Remains Hot for a Variety of Reasons; This Chart Summarizes Selection Steps


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JB Hunt has Made Big Hikes to Driver Pay

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US Manufacturing Chugging Along after Tariffs
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No End to Lower Availability for US DC Space
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MIT Making Huge Investment in School for AI
   
NEW ABERDEEN REPORT PROVIDED BY AMBER ROAD




CARTOON CAPTION CONTEST EXTENDED

September 5, 2018 Contest



See The Full Cartoon and Send in Your Entry Today!


NEW WHITE PAPER PROVIDED BY LOGILITY





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Feature Story: Bad News for Shippers Continues as DC Availability Falls for Amazing 33rd Consecutive Quarter

 

ONTARGET e-MAGAZINE
Weekly On-Target Newsletter:
October 17, 2018 Edition


Cartoon, CSCMP Company Participation, Great Carrier CEO Panel, RFID, More


EXPERT INSIGHT

Common Forecasting Myths Debunked: Part 1 - One Forecast is Enough




by Karin Bursa
Executive Vice President
Logility


SUPPLY CHAIN BY DESIGN

CSCMP Edge - Nike Quote: "It is All an Art Project Until you Get it on Someone's Feet"



by Dr. Michael Watson


NEW GUIDE PROVIDED BY AMBER ROAD







CSCMP EDGE CONFERENCE DAY 1, 2 AND 3 COMMENTARIES



Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
 

TRIVIA QUESTION

What year did Walmart's revenue exceed that of bankrupt Sears for the first time to become the largest US retailer?

Answer Found at the
Bottom of the Page



Trip Report - CSCMP Edge 2018 in Nashville Part 3

Milking the CSCMP Edge 2018 conference two weeks ago in Nashville, I am back with one final installment of my trip reports, this one with a bit of a twist - my thoughts on how the fine conference might be improved a bit. See earlier part 1 and part 2.

First, let's catch up on one thing I haven't had time to summarize that. For a number of years now CSCMP has held a supply chain innovation award competition at the conference. Based on case study submissions earlier in the year, five finalists for the award were selected to present their innovations to a panel of judges in a series of presentations in a separate innovation award track.

GILMORE SAYS:

I freely admit my recommendations are free of all the constraints and other issues that real conference planners need to grapple with.

WHAT DO YOU SAY?

Send us your
Feedback here

The judges selected as the winner a new analytic system for supplier management and risk mitigation using AI and machine learning from Intel, which has made the final round for other innovations in previous years.

The Intel presentation was the only one of the innovation award track sessions I attended, and it was quite good, though I was concerned it may have been a bit too deep for the panel of judges. Greatly simplified, as presented by David Bayba and Mani Janakiram, Intel has built a procurement dashboard that uses cognitive computing, AI and machine learning to combine and synthesize a wide range of data, from both internal and external sources, structure and unstructured.

Those sources include traditional procurement systems, data from audits Intel conducts with its suppliers, translated news feeds from publications around the world, Twitter feeds and many more.

The dashboard provides all kinds of insight, with warnings about various risk factors by supplier, region, etc. The system is not so much geared for managing large suppliers to Intel - buyers are naturally mostly on top of those companies - but rather than many smaller suppliers for which there is less visibility, characterized by few buyers handling lots of suppliers.

One attendee said his company tried something similar, and that the issue wound up being too many "false negatives" - alerts that turned out to not be real concerns, leading buyers to stop looking at them
.

Intel said it had also experienced this issue, but was able to overcome it by working closely with buyers to tweak the algorithms and using machine learning to understand normal "signal" and then identify risk factors that go beyond the usual noise.

Examples of other dashboard functionality include identifying additional suppliers similar to existing ones and alerts for suppliers that may be likely to breech Intel's supplier code of conduct. In a limited rollout, the system has led to savings of $30 million through better negotiations, and freed up 20% of buyers' time. Very deep, but very good.


Switching gears, the conference - as with others - has become much more panel-oriented in recent years. By my count, out of 114 breakout sessions, 47 were panels.

While attending two very good panels at this year's conference, in general I am not a fan. Panel discussions are often interesting, but not insightful, in my opinion. The best presentations either cover how a company specifically addressed a supply chain problem or opportunity, or present a new way of thinking about a given issue. Panels generally just cover high level thoughts on a variety of topics that indicates how others are thinking, but rarely show a path for what you should consider doing in your companies.

Clearly, not everyone agrees with my thinking. I will also note, as I have done before, that another factor is that it is generally much easier for a supply chain manager or executive to get the OK to participate in a panel discussion on general issues say in transportation than it is to get permission to detail how the company is saving money in transportation in a focused presentation. That's just a reality.

As I went back and reviewed all the breakout tracks, I frankly wondered why I didn't go to the session on "A Quest to Profitability and Value, Using Segmentation and Analytics?" with Clorox's Mark Hersch, or "Sourcing and the Value Chain - The Competitive Advantage," by Johnson & Johnson's VP of procurement Joe Agresta, all by himself. That's getting it done.

Of course, no conference can draw attendees if there aren't companies willing to share their stories or perspectives in presentations or panels, and for many years now SCDigest has tracked what companies participate in sessions one way or the other.

As released in our OnTarget newsletter earlier this week, at this year's conference, Johnson & Johnson led the way with one presentation and three panel discussions for a total of four contributions.

Intel was next with three presentations - most delivered once again as in previous years with no consultant or technology vendor as part of the mix. Good for Intel.

Morton Salt, Bacardi, McDonald's, Mondelez, Nike, ThyssenKrupp, Under Armour, Arcade Beauty, Coca-Cola, DuBois Chemicals, Kimberly-Clark, L'Oreal, and Walmart each had two total participations in a presentation and/or panel. (Note: we do not track participation by vendors, 3PLs, consultants or academics, as they usually benefit from participation.)

There were then dozens of companies that had a single presentation or panel. In total, by my count there were 75 companies participating in one or more sessions, up from 50 in 2017. Why the rise? Not sure, but my guess the growth in panel sessions is the key factor, since you might have as many as five companies participating, versus just one or two in a presentation session.

But there's more - we track company participation over time too. As shown in the graphic below, over the last three conferences, Intel leads the way, with seven presentations and one panel for a total of eight. J&J and Coco-Cola are next with seven total participations over three years, and Mondelez, Walmart, and Nike are next with five each.



            

 

                                          See Full Image

All told, 26 companies had at least two participations over the three years. We attendees owe them a debt of thanks for making the conference possible.

With that, I will end with my thoughts on how to make the conference better - something I haven't done for a few years. CSCMP CEO Rick Blasgen told me the "conference of the future" committee has been folded into the annual conference planning committee, a move that I am not sure is the best approach, but we will all see.

As always I enjoyed the conference again this year, but feel that the three day agenda should be rethought a bit. It has stayed the same for many, many years now, and I think it is time for a modest refresh. There is always inertia in such matters - no different than my reluctance to go through a web site refresh as we do every few years but not often enough, or throwing away an old but comfortable couch.

First, we need more supply chain execs as main stages presenters. That happened with a keynote panel on the first day, which was only OK in execution but a commendable attempt to change things up.


Going along with that is the need for more supply chain thought leadership in the general sessions. As just one example, MIT's Yossi Sheffi did a breakout session on his excellent book "Balancing Green" - he could easily have been a keynoter.

Room for expanded keynotes might be found by moving some of the CSCMP administrative stuff (incoming board chain, young leaders award, several more) to a luncheon session(s). That would mean not having lunch for at least one day in the Supply Chain Exchange trade show area, but I think the exhibitors would agree that lunch time delivers relatively little traffic. There might even be benefit to the exhibitors from reducing open hours to get more traffic concentration.

As I have noted in the past, I am also not a fan of the change a few years ago to 75 minute educational sessions. The last 15-30 minutes simply drags on too long, and the extended times reduce the number of sessions scheduled for each day.

A return to 45 minute sessions would open another daily slot, which I would use to schedule just maybe three high-powered sessions that would therefore have hundreds of attendees, not dozens. For example, the excellent carrier CEO panel I attended had a full house of maybe 100+. As one of three choices, maybe that number is 500 - which is the kind of audience it deserved to enjoy.

I admit my recommendations are free of all the constraints and other issues that real conference planners need to grapple with. But those are my thoughts - I would love to hear your conference ideas.

But changes or not I was happy enough, and will certainly be back at CSCMP EDGE 2019 in Anaheim.

Did you go to CSCMP 2018? If not, why not? If yes, what are your thoughts on the conference? Any reaction to Gilmore's ideas for improvement? Let us know your thoughts at the Feedback section below.

 

                   

                                                       


   

On Demand Videocast:

Digital Transformation's Value to the Supply Chain


The Future of Order Management

This videocast breaks down what digital transformation is and how automated order management solutions equate to supply chain benefits.


Featuring Dan Gilmore, Editor along with Esker's Dan Reeve.

Now Available On Demand

On Demand Videocast:

Digitizing the Order Management Process

Orders Still come in Many Different Forms and Systems - Here's How to Get them Under Digital Control

This videocast discusses breaks down all the ways in which orders can arrive, the downstream challenges associated with each, and the benefits of digitization.


Featuring Dan Gilmore, Editor along with Esker's Sarah Joiner.


Now Available On Demand

On Demand Videocast:

Reducing Costs through Automated Inventory Replenishment & Analytics

How Motor City Industrial Taps into Data Visualization to Help Customers Identify Waste, Reduce Inventory

This videocast discusses how to connect people, processes and technology across commerce and supply chain operations to achieve unified commerce.


Featuring Dan Gilmore, Editor along with Joseph Stephens, CEO, Motor City Industrial, Jay Fielder, Supply Chain Technology Manager, Motor City Industrial and Mike Wills, Chief Revenue Officer, Apex Supply Chain Technologies.


Now Available On Demand

YOUR FEEDBACK

We received several emails on a recent s First Thoughts column on "RFID in the Supply Chain: A Look Back and Ahead." A selection is below.

Feedback on RFID in the Supply Chain: A Look Back and Ahead

comma

Great recap of the Walmart RFID initiative timeline. Brings back memories.

Working in Technology Solutions for a 3PL serving one of the "Top 100", I was deeply involved in analyzing, designing, proposing and implementing the RFID solution to tag and verify pallets and cases.

From a technology standpoint, it was an exciting time. However, challenges were many...the RFID tags initially available were of poor quality, different products required different types of tags, some RFID "consulting" companies didn't have the expertise to add real value, name a few. The situation improved after the 1st year of production when tag quality improved, process became standardized and product packaging grew more RFID-friendly.

I don't think many people were surprised that the initiative eventually fizzled. Walmart was pressuring vendors for lower prices, more frequent and smaller deliveries and RFID tagging. Something had to give. However, I won't be surprised to see it eventually used in retail that can support and pay for a more complete RFID process through the stores. There are benefits to be had.

John Dillon




 

comma

 

Great summary Dan! Thanks, and I will look forward to "What's Ahead".

 

My opinion of RFID has always been that it is interesting technology that likely has a place in managing some part of the supply chain, but it doesn't really replace serialized barcoded labels and solid data integration via EDI like platforms (including blockchain) for the wide majority of uses. Give me a good ASN with that contains the required product data (even down to lot/serial numbers when required), and I don't need electronic tags. I can track anything I need by referencing the SSCC.

A decent inventory management system and solid processes and procedures trumps tagging for inventory control. However there is clear advantage in the IoT world if you need to track things like temperature history etc. during transit and while in storage (another story)

Steven R. Murray
Lead Process Auditor and Senior Research Associate
Warehousing Education and Research Council



 


 

 

comma

 

Thank you for an outstanding column and perspective.

Your timeline of the Walmart RFID initiative should go into some kind of supply chain history machine - don't lose it.

This was frankly a highly mismanaged program on many levels. How it went so wrong has never really been explained, though the lack of value for vendors as you note was in the end the key issue.


Bud Sigmund
Benton Harbor, MI




 

SUPPLY CHAIN TRIVIA ANSWER

Q: What year did Walmart's revenue exceed that of bankrupt Sears for the first time to become the largest US retailer?

A: 1990.

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